Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Denver am 24. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Denver am 24. Juli?
94-95°F 43%
96-97°F 26%
92-93°F 25%
90-91°F 6%
NEU
NEU
24. Juli 2026
81°F oder weniger
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
43%
96-97°F
26%
98-99°F
3%
100°F oder höher
1%
94-95°F 43%
96-97°F 26%
92-93°F 25%
90-91°F 6%
NEU
NEU
24. Juli 2026
81°F oder weniger
$225 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$308 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$174 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$463 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$9 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$9 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
25%
94-95°F
$61 Vol.
43%
96-97°F
$246 Vol.
26%
98-99°F
$60 Vol.
3%
100°F oder höher
$78 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$1,607Enddatum
24. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,607Enddatum
24. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance indicate a modest high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon temperatures near 95°F in Denver, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 94–97°F. At 5,280 feet elevation, rapid radiational heating under clear skies competes with variable downslope winds and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 2–3°F. Slight spread in GFS and ECMWF solutions for 700-hPa temperatures and wind direction creates the observed 36.5 % / 27.5 % split between the two leading bins, while lower-probability tails reflect historical July variability and potential for late-day convection. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact maximum before tomorrow’s observation window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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