Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 23. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 23. Juli?
35°C 32%
36°C 31%
34°C 17%
37°C 15%
NEU
NEU
23. Juli 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
17%
35°C
32%
36°C
31%
37°C
15%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 32%
36°C 31%
34°C 17%
37°C 15%
NEU
NEU
23. Juli 2026
30°C or below
$600 Vol.
1%
31°C
$384 Vol.
1%
32°C
$232 Vol.
2%
33°C
$285 Vol.
6%
34°C
$198 Vol.
17%
35°C
$440 Vol.
32%
36°C
$222 Vol.
31%
37°C
$634 Vol.
15%
38°C
$83 Vol.
3%
39°C
$164 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$730 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$3,973Enddatum
23. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,973Enddatum
23. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen