The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 13. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 13. Juli?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F oder niedriger <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$45,472 Vol.
$45,472 Vol.
13. Juli 2026
75°F oder niedriger
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F oder höher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F oder niedriger <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$45,472 Vol.
$45,472 Vol.
13. Juli 2026
75°F oder niedriger
$4,989 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,588 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,693 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$3,908 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,938 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$6,818 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$5,490 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$3,850 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$4,816 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$4,125 Vol.
<1%
94°F oder höher
$2,261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$45,472Enddatum
13. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$45,472Enddatum
13. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds for Houston’s July 13 high temperature, clustered between 84–89°F, reflect substantial uncertainty in the latest short-range forecast guidance from NOAA models. Daytime maximums hinge on the interplay of subtropical high pressure, Gulf moisture influx, and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance surface heating by several degrees. Ensemble spreads show morning dew points near 75°F and light southerly winds favoring typical July sensible heat buildup, yet small shifts in convective initiation timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak into the mid-80s or low-90s. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable model consensus while discounting tail outcomes outside historical July climatology for the region.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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