**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on July 3 point to a high near 95°F amid ongoing above-normal warmth driven by an upper-level ridge and heat dome pattern over Texas.** Typical early-July insolation and Gulf moisture support strong daytime heating, with dewpoints in the mid-70s pushing heat indices well above 100°F, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms introduce modest uncertainty that could cap peaks slightly below model guidance. Historical normals for the date hover around 94°F, and current model consensus aligns closely with the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Limited tropical moisture or stronger convection would be required to shift outcomes meaningfully lower, while any suppression of clouds could push readings toward 96-97°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Houston on July 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 3?
96-97°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$38,851 Vol.
$38,851 Vol.
3. Juli 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$38,851 Vol.
$38,851 Vol.
3. Juli 2026
81°F or below
$1,374 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,450 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,255 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$3,160 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$3,145 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$4,149 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$4,261 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$8,358 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$4,430 Vol.
100%
98-99°F
$3,964 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$3,305 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on July 3 point to a high near 95°F amid ongoing above-normal warmth driven by an upper-level ridge and heat dome pattern over Texas.** Typical early-July insolation and Gulf moisture support strong daytime heating, with dewpoints in the mid-70s pushing heat indices well above 100°F, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms introduce modest uncertainty that could cap peaks slightly below model guidance. Historical normals for the date hover around 94°F, and current model consensus aligns closely with the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Limited tropical moisture or stronger convection would be required to shift outcomes meaningfully lower, while any suppression of clouds could push readings toward 96-97°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volumen
$38,851Enddatum
3. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on July 3 point to a high near 95°F amid ongoing above-normal warmth driven by an upper-level ridge and heat dome pattern over Texas.** Typical early-July insolation and Gulf moisture support strong daytime heating, with dewpoints in the mid-70s pushing heat indices well above 100°F, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms introduce modest uncertainty that could cap peaks slightly below model guidance. Historical normals for the date hover around 94°F, and current model consensus aligns closely with the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Limited tropical moisture or stronger convection would be required to shift outcomes meaningfully lower, while any suppression of clouds could push readings toward 96-97°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$38,851Enddatum
3. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on July 3 point to a high near 95°F amid ongoing above-normal warmth driven by an upper-level ridge and heat dome pattern over Texas.** Typical early-July insolation and Gulf moisture support strong daytime heating, with dewpoints in the mid-70s pushing heat indices well above 100°F, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms introduce modest uncertainty that could cap peaks slightly below model guidance. Historical normals for the date hover around 94°F, and current model consensus aligns closely with the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Limited tropical moisture or stronger convection would be required to shift outcomes meaningfully lower, while any suppression of clouds could push readings toward 96-97°F.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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