**Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating daytime heating at the official Los Angeles measurement station (typically LAX), keeping the expected high in the upper 70s.** Early August climatology for coastal Los Angeles shows average highs near 76–78°F under typical sea-breeze patterns, and current National Weather Service guidance aligns with this baseline rather than interior heat. Model consensus favors limited warming because the marine inversion and prevailing westerlies suppress temperature spikes, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 78–79°F (53.5%) and 76–77°F (39.0%). The low probability assigned to 80°F+ outcomes reflects the low likelihood of a strong offshore flow or clear-sky heating event materializing today. No recent upper-air changes or heat-advisory signals have shifted the forecast enough to move implied probabilities significantly higher. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range typical of a stable marine-layer regime, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 7. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 7. August?
78-79°F 54%
76-77°F 39%
80-81°F 6%
74-75°F 2%
NEU
$25,844 Vol.
NEU
$25,844 Vol.
7. Aug. 2026
71°F oder niedriger
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
54%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
30-31°C
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
78-79°F 54%
76-77°F 39%
80-81°F 6%
74-75°F 2%
NEU
$25,844 Vol.
NEU
$25,844 Vol.
7. Aug. 2026
71°F oder niedriger
$847 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,582 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,128 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$3,747 Vol.
39%
78-79°F
$8,501 Vol.
54%
80-81°F
$1,876 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$1,697 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$1,772 Vol.
<1%
30-31°C
$1,238 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$861 Vol.
<1%
90°F oder höher
$597 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating daytime heating at the official Los Angeles measurement station (typically LAX), keeping the expected high in the upper 70s.**
Early August climatology for coastal Los Angeles shows average highs near 76–78°F under typical sea-breeze patterns, and current National Weather Service guidance aligns with this baseline rather than interior heat. Model consensus favors limited warming because the marine inversion and prevailing westerlies suppress temperature spikes, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 78–79°F (53.5%) and 76–77°F (39.0%).
The low probability assigned to 80°F+ outcomes reflects the low likelihood of a strong offshore flow or clear-sky heating event materializing today. No recent upper-air changes or heat-advisory signals have shifted the forecast enough to move implied probabilities significantly higher. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range typical of a stable marine-layer regime, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$25,844Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating daytime heating at the official Los Angeles measurement station (typically LAX), keeping the expected high in the upper 70s.**
Early August climatology for coastal Los Angeles shows average highs near 76–78°F under typical sea-breeze patterns, and current National Weather Service guidance aligns with this baseline rather than interior heat. Model consensus favors limited warming because the marine inversion and prevailing westerlies suppress temperature spikes, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 78–79°F (53.5%) and 76–77°F (39.0%).
The low probability assigned to 80°F+ outcomes reflects the low likelihood of a strong offshore flow or clear-sky heating event materializing today. No recent upper-air changes or heat-advisory signals have shifted the forecast enough to move implied probabilities significantly higher. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range typical of a stable marine-layer regime, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25,844Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating daytime heating at the official Los Angeles measurement station (typically LAX), keeping the expected high in the upper 70s.** Early August climatology for coastal Los Angeles shows average highs near 76–78°F under typical sea-breeze patterns, and current National Weather Service guidance aligns with this baseline rather than interior heat. Model consensus favors limited warming because the marine inversion and prevailing westerlies suppress temperature spikes, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 78–79°F (53.5%) and 76–77°F (39.0%). The low probability assigned to 80°F+ outcomes reflects the low likelihood of a strong offshore flow or clear-sky heating event materializing today. No recent upper-air changes or heat-advisory signals have shifted the forecast enough to move implied probabilities significantly higher. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range typical of a stable marine-layer regime, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum reported by the National Weather Service.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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