The southwest monsoon, or Habagat, combined with a low-pressure area, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms across Luzon including Manila through August 3–4, per PAGASA guidance. These conditions limit solar heating and daytime temperature peaks compared with clearer periods. Official climatology places typical August maxima near 30–31 °C, yet the current convective regime favors values clustered around 28–30 °C. Small differences among these outcomes hinge on the exact timing and intensity of afternoon convection, local wind patterns, and any brief breaks in cloud cover that could allow marginally higher readings. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping the market tightly bunched while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise daily maximum under active monsoon flow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 3. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 3. August?
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 9%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
25%
29°C
32%
30°C
23%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C oder höher
2%
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 9%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$286 Vol.
1%
25°C
$695 Vol.
1%
26°C
$180 Vol.
2%
27°C
$92 Vol.
7%
28°C
$137 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
32%
30°C
$13 Vol.
23%
31°C
$40 Vol.
9%
32°C
$91 Vol.
2%
33°C
$90 Vol.
1%
34°C oder höher
$21 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or Habagat, combined with a low-pressure area, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms across Luzon including Manila through August 3–4, per PAGASA guidance. These conditions limit solar heating and daytime temperature peaks compared with clearer periods. Official climatology places typical August maxima near 30–31 °C, yet the current convective regime favors values clustered around 28–30 °C. Small differences among these outcomes hinge on the exact timing and intensity of afternoon convection, local wind patterns, and any brief breaks in cloud cover that could allow marginally higher readings. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping the market tightly bunched while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise daily maximum under active monsoon flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$1,226Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or Habagat, combined with a low-pressure area, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms across Luzon including Manila through August 3–4, per PAGASA guidance. These conditions limit solar heating and daytime temperature peaks compared with clearer periods. Official climatology places typical August maxima near 30–31 °C, yet the current convective regime favors values clustered around 28–30 °C. Small differences among these outcomes hinge on the exact timing and intensity of afternoon convection, local wind patterns, and any brief breaks in cloud cover that could allow marginally higher readings. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping the market tightly bunched while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise daily maximum under active monsoon flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,226Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon, or Habagat, combined with a low-pressure area, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms across Luzon including Manila through August 3–4, per PAGASA guidance. These conditions limit solar heating and daytime temperature peaks compared with clearer periods. Official climatology places typical August maxima near 30–31 °C, yet the current convective regime favors values clustered around 28–30 °C. Small differences among these outcomes hinge on the exact timing and intensity of afternoon convection, local wind patterns, and any brief breaks in cloud cover that could allow marginally higher readings. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping the market tightly bunched while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise daily maximum under active monsoon flow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen