Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 3 near 20–21°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and easterly flow have sustained above-normal warmth through early August, with recent model runs showing limited overnight cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. Variability stems from small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and boundary-layer mixing that could trim the low by 1–2°C or hold it higher. Updated runs expected over the next 48 hours, along with official Météo-France bulletins, will refine the exact minimum ahead of the daily resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 3. August?
20°C 32%
19°C 28%
21°C 22%
17°C oder darunter 15%
17°C oder darunter
15%
18°C
14%
19°C
28%
20°C
32%
21°C
22%
22°C
10%
23°C
8%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C oder höher
1%
20°C 32%
19°C 28%
21°C 22%
17°C oder darunter 15%
17°C oder darunter
15%
18°C
14%
19°C
28%
20°C
32%
21°C
22%
22°C
10%
23°C
8%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 3 near 20–21°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. High-pressure dominance and easterly flow have sustained above-normal warmth through early August, with recent model runs showing limited overnight cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. Variability stems from small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and boundary-layer mixing that could trim the low by 1–2°C or hold it higher. Updated runs expected over the next 48 hours, along with official Météo-France bulletins, will refine the exact minimum ahead of the daily resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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