Recent PAGASA outlooks and global model runs for Manila on June 22 highlight increasing southwest monsoon influence, with 60-80% rain chances and highs projected at 32-33°C, driving the tight market clustering around these levels. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit daytime heating compared to clearer periods that could push peaks toward 34°C, while typical June climatology centers near 32°C with lows around 26°C. Short-term variability in steering patterns and convective timing creates the narrow spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes, with higher temperatures requiring sustained breaks in rainfall unlikely under current guidance. Updated agency briefings and refined model ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Manila on June 22?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 22?
34°C 36%
33°C 35%
35°C 19%
36°C 12%
NEU
NEU
22. Juni 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
35%
34°C
36%
35°C
19%
36°C
12%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 36%
33°C 35%
35°C 19%
36°C 12%
NEU
NEU
22. Juni 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$8 Vol.
1%
31°C
$54 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
10%
33°C
$0 Vol.
35%
34°C
$0 Vol.
36%
35°C
$0 Vol.
19%
36°C
$6 Vol.
12%
37°C
$10 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$50 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and global model runs for Manila on June 22 highlight increasing southwest monsoon influence, with 60-80% rain chances and highs projected at 32-33°C, driving the tight market clustering around these levels. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit daytime heating compared to clearer periods that could push peaks toward 34°C, while typical June climatology centers near 32°C with lows around 26°C. Short-term variability in steering patterns and convective timing creates the narrow spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes, with higher temperatures requiring sustained breaks in rainfall unlikely under current guidance. Updated agency briefings and refined model ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 20, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volumen
$129Enddatum
22. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 20, 2026, 12:24 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and global model runs for Manila on June 22 highlight increasing southwest monsoon influence, with 60-80% rain chances and highs projected at 32-33°C, driving the tight market clustering around these levels. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit daytime heating compared to clearer periods that could push peaks toward 34°C, while typical June climatology centers near 32°C with lows around 26°C. Short-term variability in steering patterns and convective timing creates the narrow spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes, with higher temperatures requiring sustained breaks in rainfall unlikely under current guidance. Updated agency briefings and refined model ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$129Enddatum
22. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 20, 2026, 12:24 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA outlooks and global model runs for Manila on June 22 highlight increasing southwest monsoon influence, with 60-80% rain chances and highs projected at 32-33°C, driving the tight market clustering around these levels. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit daytime heating compared to clearer periods that could push peaks toward 34°C, while typical June climatology centers near 32°C with lows around 26°C. Short-term variability in steering patterns and convective timing creates the narrow spread between 32°C and 34°C outcomes, with higher temperatures requiring sustained breaks in rainfall unlikely under current guidance. Updated agency briefings and refined model ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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