Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?
31°C 36%
30°C 30%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
NEU
$13,107 Vol.
NEU
$13,107 Vol.
19. Juni 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
36%
32°C
18%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 30%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
NEU
$13,107 Vol.
NEU
$13,107 Vol.
19. Juni 2026
25°C or below
$485 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$922 Vol.
1%
28°C
$966 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,411 Vol.
16%
30°C
$3,141 Vol.
30%
31°C
$2,320 Vol.
36%
32°C
$1,278 Vol.
18%
33°C
$1,013 Vol.
3%
34°C
$503 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$882 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Volumen
$13,107Enddatum
19. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,107Enddatum
19. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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