Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s June 17 maximum near 34–36 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A persistent subtropical ridge is delivering clear skies and light southeasterly flow, favoring modest daytime warming above the June climatological average of 28–30 °C. Small differences among leading probabilities hinge on unresolved details in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance issued over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 17. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 17. Juni?
35°C 35%
34°C 28%
36°C 23%
33°C 6%
NEU
NEU
17. Juni 2026
32°C oder darunter
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
28%
35°C
35%
36°C
23%
37°C
4%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C oder höher
<1%
35°C 35%
34°C 28%
36°C 23%
33°C 6%
NEU
NEU
17. Juni 2026
32°C oder darunter
$63 Vol.
3%
33°C
$5 Vol.
6%
34°C
$81 Vol.
28%
35°C
$63 Vol.
35%
36°C
$37 Vol.
23%
37°C
$30 Vol.
4%
38°C
$7 Vol.
4%
39°C
$41 Vol.
1%
40°C
$240 Vol.
1%
41°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
42°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s June 17 maximum near 34–36 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A persistent subtropical ridge is delivering clear skies and light southeasterly flow, favoring modest daytime warming above the June climatological average of 28–30 °C. Small differences among leading probabilities hinge on unresolved details in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance issued over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$452Enddatum
17. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s June 17 maximum near 34–36 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A persistent subtropical ridge is delivering clear skies and light southeasterly flow, favoring modest daytime warming above the June climatological average of 28–30 °C. Small differences among leading probabilities hinge on unresolved details in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance issued over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$452Enddatum
17. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET place Madrid’s June 17 maximum near 34–36 °C, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A persistent subtropical ridge is delivering clear skies and light southeasterly flow, favoring modest daytime warming above the June climatological average of 28–30 °C. Small differences among leading probabilities hinge on unresolved details in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance issued over the next 48 hours will narrow the spread ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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