Current forecast models indicate Beijing's June 17 maximum will likely reach 31–32°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This reflects typical mid-June climatology for the region, where daytime highs average near 30°C amid strengthening solar heating and variable monsoon moisture. Recent model runs highlight uncertainty from cloud cover and potential afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures at 31°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 32–33°C. Official guidance from monitoring agencies notes modest day-to-day variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, keeping higher extremes (34°C+) at low implied probability while supporting the observed trader consensus on near-normal warmth.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Beijing on June 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 17?
32°C 34%
31°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 7.8%
NEU
NEU
17. Juni 2026
28°C or below
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
28%
32°C
34%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 7.8%
NEU
NEU
17. Juni 2026
28°C or below
$37 Vol.
5%
29°C
$25 Vol.
7%
30°C
$20 Vol.
16%
31°C
$39 Vol.
28%
32°C
$32 Vol.
34%
33°C
$220 Vol.
8%
34°C
$269 Vol.
1%
35°C
$142 Vol.
1%
36°C
$70 Vol.
1%
37°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Beijing's June 17 maximum will likely reach 31–32°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This reflects typical mid-June climatology for the region, where daytime highs average near 30°C amid strengthening solar heating and variable monsoon moisture. Recent model runs highlight uncertainty from cloud cover and potential afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures at 31°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 32–33°C. Official guidance from monitoring agencies notes modest day-to-day variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, keeping higher extremes (34°C+) at low implied probability while supporting the observed trader consensus on near-normal warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$828Enddatum
17. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Beijing's June 17 maximum will likely reach 31–32°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This reflects typical mid-June climatology for the region, where daytime highs average near 30°C amid strengthening solar heating and variable monsoon moisture. Recent model runs highlight uncertainty from cloud cover and potential afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures at 31°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 32–33°C. Official guidance from monitoring agencies notes modest day-to-day variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, keeping higher extremes (34°C+) at low implied probability while supporting the observed trader consensus on near-normal warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$828Enddatum
17. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate Beijing's June 17 maximum will likely reach 31–32°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This reflects typical mid-June climatology for the region, where daytime highs average near 30°C amid strengthening solar heating and variable monsoon moisture. Recent model runs highlight uncertainty from cloud cover and potential afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap temperatures at 31°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 32–33°C. Official guidance from monitoring agencies notes modest day-to-day variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, keeping higher extremes (34°C+) at low implied probability while supporting the observed trader consensus on near-normal warmth.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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