Recent ensemble forecasts from centers like ECMWF and FMI cluster Helsinki's June 17 maximum near 19–21°C, driving the tight market spread around those outcomes. Diurnal heating depends on variable factors including cloud cover reducing insolation, light northwesterly flow off the Baltic moderating temperatures, and any passing showers limiting peak readings. Mid-June climatology places typical highs near 18–20°C, but short-term model runs show modest spread from pressure gradients and boundary-layer moisture. Traders weigh these probabilistic outputs against historical analogs, with fresh model cycles likely to refine resolution before the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Helsinki on June 17?
20°C 25%
19°C 23%
21°C 18%
18°C 12%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
12%
19°C
23%
20°C
25%
21°C
18%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
7%
20°C 25%
19°C 23%
21°C 18%
18°C 12%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
12%
19°C
23%
20°C
25%
21°C
18%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from centers like ECMWF and FMI cluster Helsinki's June 17 maximum near 19–21°C, driving the tight market spread around those outcomes. Diurnal heating depends on variable factors including cloud cover reducing insolation, light northwesterly flow off the Baltic moderating temperatures, and any passing showers limiting peak readings. Mid-June climatology places typical highs near 18–20°C, but short-term model runs show modest spread from pressure gradients and boundary-layer moisture. Traders weigh these probabilistic outputs against historical analogs, with fresh model cycles likely to refine resolution before the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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