Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Hong Kong’s June 15 maximum reflects an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting heavy rain and highs of 26–29°C. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit solar heating, keeping peaks near or slightly below the June climatological average of 31°C while elevating humidity. Ensemble model runs show modest spread tied to the precise timing and intensity of convective cells, which can suppress or briefly allow 30°C readings depending on breaks in the rain. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide a slight upward bias, but the immediate synoptic setup favors the tightly bunched 28–30°C outcomes currently priced highest. Updated local forecasts and radar trends through the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
29°C 39%
28°C 32%
30°C 17%
27°C 8%
NEU
$15,898 Vol.
NEU
$15,898 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
32%
29°C
39%
30°C
17%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 39%
28°C 32%
30°C 17%
27°C 8%
NEU
$15,898 Vol.
NEU
$15,898 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
23°C or below
$934 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,040 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$869 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,224 Vol.
8%
28°C
$1,423 Vol.
32%
29°C
$2,754 Vol.
39%
30°C
$2,173 Vol.
17%
31°C
$2,053 Vol.
5%
32°C
$743 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$857 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Hong Kong’s June 15 maximum reflects an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting heavy rain and highs of 26–29°C. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit solar heating, keeping peaks near or slightly below the June climatological average of 31°C while elevating humidity. Ensemble model runs show modest spread tied to the precise timing and intensity of convective cells, which can suppress or briefly allow 30°C readings depending on breaks in the rain. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide a slight upward bias, but the immediate synoptic setup favors the tightly bunched 28–30°C outcomes currently priced highest. Updated local forecasts and radar trends through the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$15,898Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Hong Kong’s June 15 maximum reflects an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting heavy rain and highs of 26–29°C. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit solar heating, keeping peaks near or slightly below the June climatological average of 31°C while elevating humidity. Ensemble model runs show modest spread tied to the precise timing and intensity of convective cells, which can suppress or briefly allow 30°C readings depending on breaks in the rain. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide a slight upward bias, but the immediate synoptic setup favors the tightly bunched 28–30°C outcomes currently priced highest. Updated local forecasts and radar trends through the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,898Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Hong Kong’s June 15 maximum reflects an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting heavy rain and highs of 26–29°C. Persistent cloud cover and showers limit solar heating, keeping peaks near or slightly below the June climatological average of 31°C while elevating humidity. Ensemble model runs show modest spread tied to the precise timing and intensity of convective cells, which can suppress or briefly allow 30°C readings depending on breaks in the rain. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide a slight upward bias, but the immediate synoptic setup favors the tightly bunched 28–30°C outcomes currently priced highest. Updated local forecasts and radar trends through the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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