Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 14, 2026, will settle near 20–21°C under typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light southeasterly winds, and possible showers that limit radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with historical June averages (around 20–24°C lows) and recent stable atmospheric patterns across eastern China, driving the market's 98.7% implied probability for a 20°C minimum. A late-arriving cold front, stronger-than-expected rain cooling the boundary layer, or an official station reading deviation of 1°C could shift the outcome toward 19°C, though current guidance shows limited divergence across ensemble runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 14. Juni?
20°C 98.8%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C oder niedriger <1%
$54,378 Vol.
$54,378 Vol.
17°C oder niedriger
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
20°C 98.8%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C oder niedriger <1%
$54,378 Vol.
$54,378 Vol.
17°C oder niedriger
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 14, 2026, will settle near 20–21°C under typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light southeasterly winds, and possible showers that limit radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with historical June averages (around 20–24°C lows) and recent stable atmospheric patterns across eastern China, driving the market's 98.7% implied probability for a 20°C minimum. A late-arriving cold front, stronger-than-expected rain cooling the boundary layer, or an official station reading deviation of 1°C could shift the outcome toward 19°C, though current guidance shows limited divergence across ensemble runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen