**Trader sentiment for London's June 16 overnight low centers on ensemble model guidance showing a tight cluster around 14–16°C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and radiative cooling after an unusually warm May.** This setup allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently under light winds, with the Met Office indicating a minimum near 16°C while ECMWF runs highlight variability from subtle cloud or moisture differences. Historical June climatology places typical London lows at 11–15°C, so the market's tight distribution reflects uncertainty in exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale shifts. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the 14°C versus 15°C edge by clarifying overnight cloud cover.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 16. Juni?
15°C 39%
14°C 29%
16°C 16%
17°C 8%
11°C oder weniger
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
29%
15°C
39%
16°C
16%
17°C
8%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
15°C 39%
14°C 29%
16°C 16%
17°C 8%
11°C oder weniger
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
29%
15°C
39%
16°C
16%
17°C
8%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for London's June 16 overnight low centers on ensemble model guidance showing a tight cluster around 14–16°C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and radiative cooling after an unusually warm May.** This setup allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently under light winds, with the Met Office indicating a minimum near 16°C while ECMWF runs highlight variability from subtle cloud or moisture differences. Historical June climatology places typical London lows at 11–15°C, so the market's tight distribution reflects uncertainty in exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale shifts. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the 14°C versus 15°C edge by clarifying overnight cloud cover.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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