Forecast consensus from meteorological models positions 31°C as the expected daytime maximum for Chongqing on June 14, 2026, aligning with the 87.6% market-implied probability. Subtropical monsoon influences and the city's basin topography typically sustain highs of 29–32°C in mid-June, with recent guidance from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather converging on 31–32°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. Afternoon observations have shown temperatures climbing steadily toward 30°C, consistent with climatological baselines rather than outlier heat or cooling from rainfall. Low probabilities for 32°C or higher reflect limited upside in current model runs, while cooler outcomes remain improbable given stable atmospheric patterns and no significant frontal activity. Updated forecasts or real-time station data near peak heating could refine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 14. Juni?
31°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
26°C oder darunter <1%
$39,835 Vol.
$39,835 Vol.
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
26°C oder darunter <1%
$39,835 Vol.
$39,835 Vol.
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from meteorological models positions 31°C as the expected daytime maximum for Chongqing on June 14, 2026, aligning with the 87.6% market-implied probability. Subtropical monsoon influences and the city's basin topography typically sustain highs of 29–32°C in mid-June, with recent guidance from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather converging on 31–32°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. Afternoon observations have shown temperatures climbing steadily toward 30°C, consistent with climatological baselines rather than outlier heat or cooling from rainfall. Low probabilities for 32°C or higher reflect limited upside in current model runs, while cooler outcomes remain improbable given stable atmospheric patterns and no significant frontal activity. Updated forecasts or real-time station data near peak heating could refine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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