Traders see 17–18°C as the most probable minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 16 because numerical weather models show limited overnight radiative cooling under typical early-tsuyu conditions, with high humidity and variable cloud cover. Recent model runs indicate a weak frontal influence and moderate southerly flow that keeps lows near seasonal normals of 18–20°C, though increased cloudiness or light rain could suppress the minimum toward 17°C or allow brief clearing that favors 18°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture forecasts from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 16. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 16. Juni?
18°C 39%
17°C 35%
16°C 15%
19°C 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
13°C oder weniger
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
15%
17°C
35%
18°C
53%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 39%
17°C 35%
16°C 15%
19°C 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
13°C oder weniger
$135 Vol.
1%
14°C
$184 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
5%
16°C
$0 Vol.
15%
17°C
$35 Vol.
35%
18°C
$24 Vol.
53%
19°C
$16 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$30 Vol.
1%
22°C
$160 Vol.
1%
23°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 17–18°C as the most probable minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 16 because numerical weather models show limited overnight radiative cooling under typical early-tsuyu conditions, with high humidity and variable cloud cover. Recent model runs indicate a weak frontal influence and moderate southerly flow that keeps lows near seasonal normals of 18–20°C, though increased cloudiness or light rain could suppress the minimum toward 17°C or allow brief clearing that favors 18°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture forecasts from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$494Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 17–18°C as the most probable minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 16 because numerical weather models show limited overnight radiative cooling under typical early-tsuyu conditions, with high humidity and variable cloud cover. Recent model runs indicate a weak frontal influence and moderate southerly flow that keeps lows near seasonal normals of 18–20°C, though increased cloudiness or light rain could suppress the minimum toward 17°C or allow brief clearing that favors 18°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture forecasts from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$494Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 17–18°C as the most probable minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 16 because numerical weather models show limited overnight radiative cooling under typical early-tsuyu conditions, with high humidity and variable cloud cover. Recent model runs indicate a weak frontal influence and moderate southerly flow that keeps lows near seasonal normals of 18–20°C, though increased cloudiness or light rain could suppress the minimum toward 17°C or allow brief clearing that favors 18°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture forecasts from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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