**Current forecasts and seasonal norms position a 21°C minimum as the dominant outcome for Tokyo on June 14, 2026.** June climatology shows average overnight lows near 19–20°C as the region transitions into the tsuyu rainy season, with increased cloud cover moderating radiative cooling. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models indicate a cloudy day with a minimum around 20–21°C, reflecting typical early-summer conditions without strong cold advection or clear skies that would allow deeper cooling. Trader consensus at 81% for 21°C aggregates these model runs and recent observations, while the smaller probabilities for 19–20°C capture residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer temperatures. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24–48 hours, keeping implied odds stable near historical baselines for mid-June.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 14. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 14. Juni?
21°C 82%
20°C 14%
19°C 3.3%
18°C <1%
$13,039 Vol.
$13,039 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
16°C oder darunter
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
14%
21°C
82%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
21°C 82%
20°C 14%
19°C 3.3%
18°C <1%
$13,039 Vol.
$13,039 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
16°C oder darunter
$683 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,896 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$688 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$425 Vol.
3%
20°C
$681 Vol.
14%
21°C
$2,119 Vol.
82%
22°C
$3,586 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,454 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
26°C oder höher
$300 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and seasonal norms position a 21°C minimum as the dominant outcome for Tokyo on June 14, 2026.**
June climatology shows average overnight lows near 19–20°C as the region transitions into the tsuyu rainy season, with increased cloud cover moderating radiative cooling. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models indicate a cloudy day with a minimum around 20–21°C, reflecting typical early-summer conditions without strong cold advection or clear skies that would allow deeper cooling. Trader consensus at 81% for 21°C aggregates these model runs and recent observations, while the smaller probabilities for 19–20°C capture residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer temperatures. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24–48 hours, keeping implied odds stable near historical baselines for mid-June.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$13,039Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and seasonal norms position a 21°C minimum as the dominant outcome for Tokyo on June 14, 2026.**
June climatology shows average overnight lows near 19–20°C as the region transitions into the tsuyu rainy season, with increased cloud cover moderating radiative cooling. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models indicate a cloudy day with a minimum around 20–21°C, reflecting typical early-summer conditions without strong cold advection or clear skies that would allow deeper cooling. Trader consensus at 81% for 21°C aggregates these model runs and recent observations, while the smaller probabilities for 19–20°C capture residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer temperatures. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24–48 hours, keeping implied odds stable near historical baselines for mid-June.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,039Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts and seasonal norms position a 21°C minimum as the dominant outcome for Tokyo on June 14, 2026.** June climatology shows average overnight lows near 19–20°C as the region transitions into the tsuyu rainy season, with increased cloud cover moderating radiative cooling. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models indicate a cloudy day with a minimum around 20–21°C, reflecting typical early-summer conditions without strong cold advection or clear skies that would allow deeper cooling. Trader consensus at 81% for 21°C aggregates these model runs and recent observations, while the smaller probabilities for 19–20°C capture residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer temperatures. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24–48 hours, keeping implied odds stable near historical baselines for mid-June.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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