Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from regional models cluster around a 27–28°C peak for Qingdao on June 16, driven by modest warm advection from southwesterly flow across the Shandong Peninsula combined with partly cloudy skies allowing sufficient solar insolation. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and higher boundary-layer humidity introduce natural variability that can suppress or enhance the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on wind timing and cloud cover. With leading market-implied probabilities closely split between 27°C and 28°C, traders are pricing the narrow margin between these thresholds, where small revisions in 48-hour forecast guidance or observed afternoon wind shifts could readily tip the recorded high. Historical June climatology places average maxima near 24°C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth as the dominant sentiment driver ahead of the final model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
28°C 35%
27°C 28%
29°C 17%
26°C 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
28%
28°C
35%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
7%
28°C 35%
27°C 28%
29°C 17%
26°C 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
20°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$27 Vol.
1%
22°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$113 Vol.
1%
24°C
$16 Vol.
2%
25°C
$192 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$77 Vol.
28%
28°C
$60 Vol.
35%
29°C
$48 Vol.
17%
30°C or higher
$81 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from regional models cluster around a 27–28°C peak for Qingdao on June 16, driven by modest warm advection from southwesterly flow across the Shandong Peninsula combined with partly cloudy skies allowing sufficient solar insolation. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and higher boundary-layer humidity introduce natural variability that can suppress or enhance the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on wind timing and cloud cover. With leading market-implied probabilities closely split between 27°C and 28°C, traders are pricing the narrow margin between these thresholds, where small revisions in 48-hour forecast guidance or observed afternoon wind shifts could readily tip the recorded high. Historical June climatology places average maxima near 24°C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth as the dominant sentiment driver ahead of the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$737Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from regional models cluster around a 27–28°C peak for Qingdao on June 16, driven by modest warm advection from southwesterly flow across the Shandong Peninsula combined with partly cloudy skies allowing sufficient solar insolation. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and higher boundary-layer humidity introduce natural variability that can suppress or enhance the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on wind timing and cloud cover. With leading market-implied probabilities closely split between 27°C and 28°C, traders are pricing the narrow margin between these thresholds, where small revisions in 48-hour forecast guidance or observed afternoon wind shifts could readily tip the recorded high. Historical June climatology places average maxima near 24°C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth as the dominant sentiment driver ahead of the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$737Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from regional models cluster around a 27–28°C peak for Qingdao on June 16, driven by modest warm advection from southwesterly flow across the Shandong Peninsula combined with partly cloudy skies allowing sufficient solar insolation. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and higher boundary-layer humidity introduce natural variability that can suppress or enhance the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on wind timing and cloud cover. With leading market-implied probabilities closely split between 27°C and 28°C, traders are pricing the narrow margin between these thresholds, where small revisions in 48-hour forecast guidance or observed afternoon wind shifts could readily tip the recorded high. Historical June climatology places average maxima near 24°C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth as the dominant sentiment driver ahead of the final model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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