**Strong consensus among global and regional forecast models, including recent runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance such as AccuWeather, supports a daily maximum of 25°C in Qingdao on June 14, 2026.** Persistent southeast winds off the Yellow Sea, combined with partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, are suppressing daytime heating and keeping temperatures within a narrow band near the seasonal coastal average. This alignment of model output and observed steering patterns explains the near-certain market-implied probability on 25°C. The outcome could shift only if unexpected full clearing allows greater solar insolation or if local wind speeds drop sharply, both low-probability adjustments given current observational data and short-term model agreement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 14?
25°C 99.4%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$29,897 Vol.
$29,897 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.4%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$29,897 Vol.
$29,897 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong consensus among global and regional forecast models, including recent runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance such as AccuWeather, supports a daily maximum of 25°C in Qingdao on June 14, 2026.** Persistent southeast winds off the Yellow Sea, combined with partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, are suppressing daytime heating and keeping temperatures within a narrow band near the seasonal coastal average. This alignment of model output and observed steering patterns explains the near-certain market-implied probability on 25°C. The outcome could shift only if unexpected full clearing allows greater solar insolation or if local wind speeds drop sharply, both low-probability adjustments given current observational data and short-term model agreement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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