Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus sources point to a June 13 maximum near 28–30°C, reflecting the primary driver behind the market’s broad distribution with 30°C leading at 33% implied probability. Early-summer conditions—high humidity above 80%, scattered showers, and moderating sea breezes—typically cap daytime peaks below the June climatological average of ~31°C, though partial clearing could allow brief warming. Seasonal outlooks already anticipate above-normal temperatures for June–August due to long-term warming trends, yet near-term model runs show limited upside risk above 31°C and slim chances for extremes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on official Observatory readings at key stations. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 13. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 13. Juni?
30°C 33%
29°C 21%
31°C 18%
28°C 8%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
25°C oder weniger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
21%
30°C
33%
31°C
19%
32°C
9%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 33%
29°C 21%
31°C 18%
28°C 8%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
25°C oder weniger
$3 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$583 Vol.
6%
28°C
$100 Vol.
8%
29°C
$17 Vol.
21%
30°C
$12 Vol.
33%
31°C
$18 Vol.
19%
32°C
$10 Vol.
9%
33°C
$3 Vol.
6%
34°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
35°C oder höher
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus sources point to a June 13 maximum near 28–30°C, reflecting the primary driver behind the market’s broad distribution with 30°C leading at 33% implied probability. Early-summer conditions—high humidity above 80%, scattered showers, and moderating sea breezes—typically cap daytime peaks below the June climatological average of ~31°C, though partial clearing could allow brief warming. Seasonal outlooks already anticipate above-normal temperatures for June–August due to long-term warming trends, yet near-term model runs show limited upside risk above 31°C and slim chances for extremes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on official Observatory readings at key stations. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$779Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus sources point to a June 13 maximum near 28–30°C, reflecting the primary driver behind the market’s broad distribution with 30°C leading at 33% implied probability. Early-summer conditions—high humidity above 80%, scattered showers, and moderating sea breezes—typically cap daytime peaks below the June climatological average of ~31°C, though partial clearing could allow brief warming. Seasonal outlooks already anticipate above-normal temperatures for June–August due to long-term warming trends, yet near-term model runs show limited upside risk above 31°C and slim chances for extremes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on official Observatory readings at key stations. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$779Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus sources point to a June 13 maximum near 28–30°C, reflecting the primary driver behind the market’s broad distribution with 30°C leading at 33% implied probability. Early-summer conditions—high humidity above 80%, scattered showers, and moderating sea breezes—typically cap daytime peaks below the June climatological average of ~31°C, though partial clearing could allow brief warming. Seasonal outlooks already anticipate above-normal temperatures for June–August due to long-term warming trends, yet near-term model runs show limited upside risk above 31°C and slim chances for extremes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on official Observatory readings at key stations. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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