Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C daily maximum in Taipei on June 11, 2026, reflecting official Central Weather Administration forecasts of 23–26°C under persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and northeasterly flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with observational data showing temperatures well below typical June climatology of 30–32°C highs, as regional models converge on limited insolation and marine influence keeping the peak near 24°C. The overwhelming 97% market-implied probability underscores confidence in forecast convergence, though minor upward revisions could occur if afternoon clearing develops faster than anticipated or if urban heat effects in the Taipei basin push readings slightly higher. New model runs or real-time observations from the CWA will determine whether the outcome locks at 24°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 11. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 11. Juni?
24°C 97.0%
25°C 1.6%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
$60,035 Vol.
$60,035 Vol.
11. Juni 2026
23°C oder niedriger
<1%
24°C
97%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 97.0%
25°C 1.6%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
$60,035 Vol.
$60,035 Vol.
11. Juni 2026
23°C oder niedriger
$11,696 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$11,855 Vol.
97%
25°C
$6,805 Vol.
2%
26°C
$6,641 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,584 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,148 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,229 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,749 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,379 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,387 Vol.
<1%
33°C oder höher
$1,373 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C daily maximum in Taipei on June 11, 2026, reflecting official Central Weather Administration forecasts of 23–26°C under persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and northeasterly flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with observational data showing temperatures well below typical June climatology of 30–32°C highs, as regional models converge on limited insolation and marine influence keeping the peak near 24°C. The overwhelming 97% market-implied probability underscores confidence in forecast convergence, though minor upward revisions could occur if afternoon clearing develops faster than anticipated or if urban heat effects in the Taipei basin push readings slightly higher. New model runs or real-time observations from the CWA will determine whether the outcome locks at 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$60,035Enddatum
11. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C daily maximum in Taipei on June 11, 2026, reflecting official Central Weather Administration forecasts of 23–26°C under persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and northeasterly flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with observational data showing temperatures well below typical June climatology of 30–32°C highs, as regional models converge on limited insolation and marine influence keeping the peak near 24°C. The overwhelming 97% market-implied probability underscores confidence in forecast convergence, though minor upward revisions could occur if afternoon clearing develops faster than anticipated or if urban heat effects in the Taipei basin push readings slightly higher. New model runs or real-time observations from the CWA will determine whether the outcome locks at 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$60,035Enddatum
11. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C daily maximum in Taipei on June 11, 2026, reflecting official Central Weather Administration forecasts of 23–26°C under persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and northeasterly flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with observational data showing temperatures well below typical June climatology of 30–32°C highs, as regional models converge on limited insolation and marine influence keeping the peak near 24°C. The overwhelming 97% market-implied probability underscores confidence in forecast convergence, though minor upward revisions could occur if afternoon clearing develops faster than anticipated or if urban heat effects in the Taipei basin push readings slightly higher. New model runs or real-time observations from the CWA will determine whether the outcome locks at 24°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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