Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather project daytime highs of 32–33°C in Madrid on June 11 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of early summer in central Spain. These align with climatological baselines for mid-June, where average maxima reach the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius amid dry, subsiding air that limits cloud cover and convective activity. Model consensus shows little deviation expected, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher below 15% absent any sudden shift in steering patterns or moisture influx. Traders appear to weigh the stability of current guidance against normal forecast uncertainty ranges as the date approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 11. Juni?
33°C 45%
32°C 33%
34°C 12%
31°C 7%
$10,586 Vol.
$10,586 Vol.
28°C oder darunter
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
7%
32°C
33%
33°C
45%
34°C
12%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 33%
34°C 12%
31°C 7%
$10,586 Vol.
$10,586 Vol.
28°C oder darunter
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
7%
32°C
33%
33°C
45%
34°C
12%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather project daytime highs of 32–33°C in Madrid on June 11 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of early summer in central Spain. These align with climatological baselines for mid-June, where average maxima reach the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius amid dry, subsiding air that limits cloud cover and convective activity. Model consensus shows little deviation expected, keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher below 15% absent any sudden shift in steering patterns or moisture influx. Traders appear to weigh the stability of current guidance against normal forecast uncertainty ranges as the date approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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