Stable high-pressure conditions over central Europe have kept Warsaw's daytime maxima near 20°C on June 12, consistent with June climatological averages and multiple European model runs showing limited variability in advection or cloud cover. Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport station, the resolution source, align with this consensus, supporting the market's near-100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold-front passage or stronger insolation under clearer skies that could elevate readings by 1–2°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts low-probability before the daily high is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 12?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 12?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$83,903 Vol.
$83,903 Vol.
12. Juni 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$83,903 Vol.
$83,903 Vol.
12. Juni 2026
14°C or below
$910 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,420 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,203 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,854 Vol.
No
18°C
$12,842 Vol.
No
19°C
$10,027 Vol.
No
20°C
$12,349 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$17,483 Vol.
No
22°C
$15,186 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,003 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$3,625 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions over central Europe have kept Warsaw's daytime maxima near 20°C on June 12, consistent with June climatological averages and multiple European model runs showing limited variability in advection or cloud cover. Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport station, the resolution source, align with this consensus, supporting the market's near-100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold-front passage or stronger insolation under clearer skies that could elevate readings by 1–2°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts low-probability before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 10, 2026, 1:13 AM ET
Volumen
$83,903Enddatum
12. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 1:13 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions over central Europe have kept Warsaw's daytime maxima near 20°C on June 12, consistent with June climatological averages and multiple European model runs showing limited variability in advection or cloud cover. Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport station, the resolution source, align with this consensus, supporting the market's near-100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold-front passage or stronger insolation under clearer skies that could elevate readings by 1–2°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts low-probability before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$83,903Enddatum
12. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 1:13 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Stable high-pressure conditions over central Europe have kept Warsaw's daytime maxima near 20°C on June 12, consistent with June climatological averages and multiple European model runs showing limited variability in advection or cloud cover. Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport station, the resolution source, align with this consensus, supporting the market's near-100% implied probability for the 20°C outcome. Realistic challenges include an unexpected cold-front passage or stronger insolation under clearer skies that could elevate readings by 1–2°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts low-probability before the daily high is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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