Recent official forecasts from the BBC, timeanddate, and European ensemble models indicate a maximum of 16°C in Warsaw on June 14 under thundery showers, moderate westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup advects cooler maritime air and suppresses daytime warming well below the June climatological average of 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 16°C and strong support for 15°C and 17°C, aligns closely with this short-range guidance. Key near-term catalysts include updated model runs and official observations from the Polish meteorological service, which could shift probabilities if clearing or stronger insolation develops before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 14. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 14. Juni?
16°C 44%
15°C 34%
17°C 18%
14°C 7.1%
$26,612 Vol.
$26,612 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
10°C oder niedriger
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
7%
15°C
34%
16°C
44%
17°C
18%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 44%
15°C 34%
17°C 18%
14°C 7.1%
$26,612 Vol.
$26,612 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
10°C oder niedriger
$364 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$467 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$948 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,155 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,140 Vol.
7%
15°C
$2,272 Vol.
34%
16°C
$3,674 Vol.
44%
17°C
$3,653 Vol.
18%
18°C
$2,847 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,279 Vol.
1%
20°C oder höher
$4,946 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the BBC, timeanddate, and European ensemble models indicate a maximum of 16°C in Warsaw on June 14 under thundery showers, moderate westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup advects cooler maritime air and suppresses daytime warming well below the June climatological average of 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 16°C and strong support for 15°C and 17°C, aligns closely with this short-range guidance. Key near-term catalysts include updated model runs and official observations from the Polish meteorological service, which could shift probabilities if clearing or stronger insolation develops before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$26,612Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the BBC, timeanddate, and European ensemble models indicate a maximum of 16°C in Warsaw on June 14 under thundery showers, moderate westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup advects cooler maritime air and suppresses daytime warming well below the June climatological average of 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 16°C and strong support for 15°C and 17°C, aligns closely with this short-range guidance. Key near-term catalysts include updated model runs and official observations from the Polish meteorological service, which could shift probabilities if clearing or stronger insolation develops before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$26,612Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the BBC, timeanddate, and European ensemble models indicate a maximum of 16°C in Warsaw on June 14 under thundery showers, moderate westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This setup advects cooler maritime air and suppresses daytime warming well below the June climatological average of 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 16°C and strong support for 15°C and 17°C, aligns closely with this short-range guidance. Key near-term catalysts include updated model runs and official observations from the Polish meteorological service, which could shift probabilities if clearing or stronger insolation develops before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen