**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to a minimum temperature near 25–26 °C on June 13 under a moist southwesterly flow.** Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected throughout the day will limit overnight radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity that reduces diurnal temperature range. Recent days of unsettled monsoon weather have kept actual minima close to seasonal norms rather than the higher values typical of clearer subtropical ridge conditions. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 25 °C and 26 °C because small shifts in cloud timing or shower intensity can move the recorded low by 1 °C; model guidance shows little support for readings below 24 °C or above 27 °C given the current steering pattern and lack of strong cold advection. Updated HKO guidance and evening model runs on June 12 will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 13. Juni?
26°C 35%
25°C 34%
27°C 21%
28°C 17%
22°C oder darunter
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
34%
26°C
35%
27°C
21%
28°C
17%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 34%
27°C 21%
28°C 17%
22°C oder darunter
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
34%
26°C
35%
27°C
21%
28°C
17%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to a minimum temperature near 25–26 °C on June 13 under a moist southwesterly flow.** Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected throughout the day will limit overnight radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity that reduces diurnal temperature range. Recent days of unsettled monsoon weather have kept actual minima close to seasonal norms rather than the higher values typical of clearer subtropical ridge conditions. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 25 °C and 26 °C because small shifts in cloud timing or shower intensity can move the recorded low by 1 °C; model guidance shows little support for readings below 24 °C or above 27 °C given the current steering pattern and lack of strong cold advection. Updated HKO guidance and evening model runs on June 12 will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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