Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum of 26–27°C in Tokyo on June 13 amid the onset of the tsuyu rainy season, with partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly flow, and only modest afternoon shower chances limiting stronger daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects can easily shift the observed high by 1°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected by JMA add a modest upward bias, while forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps the 25°C and 28°C outcomes viable. Updated model runs and the next JMA bulletin remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 13?
26°C 35%
27°C 28%
25°C 22%
28°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
22%
26°C
35%
27°C
28%
28°C
13%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 35%
27°C 28%
25°C 22%
28°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
22%
26°C
35%
27°C
28%
28°C
13%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum of 26–27°C in Tokyo on June 13 amid the onset of the tsuyu rainy season, with partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly flow, and only modest afternoon shower chances limiting stronger daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects can easily shift the observed high by 1°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected by JMA add a modest upward bias, while forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps the 25°C and 28°C outcomes viable. Updated model runs and the next JMA bulletin remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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