Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to a transient high-pressure ridge and southerly flow over the Yellow Sea region, supporting above-normal warmth and clear conditions that elevate the chance of a 31°C peak on June 13. This aligns with the market's 72% implied probability for 31°C or higher, as traders weigh the potential for brief intensification ahead of any coastal marine influence or cloud build-up. Climatologically, mid-June averages hover near 24–26°C in Qingdao, so the current positioning reflects a short-term deviation rather than a sustained anomaly. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture return alter the thermal profile.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 13?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 13?
31°C or higher 76%
30°C 16%
29°C 3.6%
28°C 3.1%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
76%
31°C or higher 76%
30°C 16%
29°C 3.6%
28°C 3.1%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
21°C or below
$113 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$142 Vol.
1%
26°C
$45 Vol.
1%
27°C
$46 Vol.
1%
28°C
$6 Vol.
3%
29°C
$12 Vol.
4%
30°C
$6 Vol.
16%
31°C or higher
$23 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to a transient high-pressure ridge and southerly flow over the Yellow Sea region, supporting above-normal warmth and clear conditions that elevate the chance of a 31°C peak on June 13. This aligns with the market's 72% implied probability for 31°C or higher, as traders weigh the potential for brief intensification ahead of any coastal marine influence or cloud build-up. Climatologically, mid-June averages hover near 24–26°C in Qingdao, so the current positioning reflects a short-term deviation rather than a sustained anomaly. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture return alter the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$642Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to a transient high-pressure ridge and southerly flow over the Yellow Sea region, supporting above-normal warmth and clear conditions that elevate the chance of a 31°C peak on June 13. This aligns with the market's 72% implied probability for 31°C or higher, as traders weigh the potential for brief intensification ahead of any coastal marine influence or cloud build-up. Climatologically, mid-June averages hover near 24–26°C in Qingdao, so the current positioning reflects a short-term deviation rather than a sustained anomaly. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture return alter the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$642Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to a transient high-pressure ridge and southerly flow over the Yellow Sea region, supporting above-normal warmth and clear conditions that elevate the chance of a 31°C peak on June 13. This aligns with the market's 72% implied probability for 31°C or higher, as traders weigh the potential for brief intensification ahead of any coastal marine influence or cloud build-up. Climatologically, mid-June averages hover near 24–26°C in Qingdao, so the current positioning reflects a short-term deviation rather than a sustained anomaly. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture return alter the thermal profile.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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