Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime peak of 30°C in Qingdao on June 11, 2026, driven by warm southwesterly flow and clear to partly cloudy conditions that favor maximum solar heating. This aligns with the market's 98.5% implied probability for 30°C, as hourly guidance shows temperatures climbing to that level midday before cooling. Seasonal June averages near 23–27°C make this outcome elevated yet consistent with observed patterns under stable high-pressure influence. Traders assign only 2.5% to 31°C or higher, reflecting limited upside potential from the consensus runs. An unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or revised model outputs could shift the recorded high downward. Official resolution depends on verified station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
30°C 99.0%
31°C or higher 1.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$26,231 Vol.
$26,231 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
99%
31°C or higher
1%
30°C 99.0%
31°C or higher 1.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$26,231 Vol.
$26,231 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
99%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime peak of 30°C in Qingdao on June 11, 2026, driven by warm southwesterly flow and clear to partly cloudy conditions that favor maximum solar heating. This aligns with the market's 98.5% implied probability for 30°C, as hourly guidance shows temperatures climbing to that level midday before cooling. Seasonal June averages near 23–27°C make this outcome elevated yet consistent with observed patterns under stable high-pressure influence. Traders assign only 2.5% to 31°C or higher, reflecting limited upside potential from the consensus runs. An unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore winds, or revised model outputs could shift the recorded high downward. Official resolution depends on verified station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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