Close clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C for Chengdu’s June 13 maximum reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from systems such as ECMWF and GFS, which show modest daytime heating under typical early-summer subtropical ridge conditions tempered by basin humidity and variable cloud cover. Current observations place daytime maxima near 28°C, consistent with climatological June averages of 28–33°C and limited recent model shifts. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine boundary-layer details and any diurnal convective development that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 13?
33°C 21%
32°C 19%
30°C or below 16%
31°C 15%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
30°C or below
16%
31°C
15%
32°C
19%
33°C
21%
34°C
13%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 21%
32°C 19%
30°C or below 16%
31°C 15%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
30°C or below
$57 Vol.
16%
31°C
$0 Vol.
15%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$6 Vol.
13%
35°C
$0 Vol.
8%
36°C
$0 Vol.
5%
37°C
$20 Vol.
2%
38°C
$0 Vol.
1%
39°C
$0 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$99 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C for Chengdu’s June 13 maximum reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from systems such as ECMWF and GFS, which show modest daytime heating under typical early-summer subtropical ridge conditions tempered by basin humidity and variable cloud cover. Current observations place daytime maxima near 28°C, consistent with climatological June averages of 28–33°C and limited recent model shifts. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine boundary-layer details and any diurnal convective development that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volumen
$125Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:24 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C for Chengdu’s June 13 maximum reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from systems such as ECMWF and GFS, which show modest daytime heating under typical early-summer subtropical ridge conditions tempered by basin humidity and variable cloud cover. Current observations place daytime maxima near 28°C, consistent with climatological June averages of 28–33°C and limited recent model shifts. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine boundary-layer details and any diurnal convective development that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$125Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:24 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C for Chengdu’s June 13 maximum reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from systems such as ECMWF and GFS, which show modest daytime heating under typical early-summer subtropical ridge conditions tempered by basin humidity and variable cloud cover. Current observations place daytime maxima near 28°C, consistent with climatological June averages of 28–33°C and limited recent model shifts. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine boundary-layer details and any diurnal convective development that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen