Forecast consensus from European and global models places Amsterdam’s June 13 maximum near 18 °C, supporting the market’s near-even split between 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes. Subtle differences in low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of a weak Atlantic front create the narrow spread separating these bins; stronger insolation or delayed cooling could push readings to 19 °C, while increased marine influence or earlier showers favor 17 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, yet small shifts in 500 hPa heights or 10 m wind forecasts can still alter peak values by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service equivalents will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 13?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 13?
18°C 39%
17°C 36%
19°C 15%
16°C 11%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
36%
18°C
39%
19°C
15%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 39%
17°C 36%
19°C 15%
16°C 11%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
13°C or below
$101 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$131 Vol.
1%
15°C
$40 Vol.
2%
16°C
$56 Vol.
11%
17°C
$35 Vol.
36%
18°C
$58 Vol.
39%
19°C
$177 Vol.
15%
20°C
$19 Vol.
3%
21°C
$29 Vol.
1%
22°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European and global models places Amsterdam’s June 13 maximum near 18 °C, supporting the market’s near-even split between 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes. Subtle differences in low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of a weak Atlantic front create the narrow spread separating these bins; stronger insolation or delayed cooling could push readings to 19 °C, while increased marine influence or earlier showers favor 17 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, yet small shifts in 500 hPa heights or 10 m wind forecasts can still alter peak values by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service equivalents will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volumen
$777Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:17 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European and global models places Amsterdam’s June 13 maximum near 18 °C, supporting the market’s near-even split between 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes. Subtle differences in low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of a weak Atlantic front create the narrow spread separating these bins; stronger insolation or delayed cooling could push readings to 19 °C, while increased marine influence or earlier showers favor 17 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, yet small shifts in 500 hPa heights or 10 m wind forecasts can still alter peak values by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service equivalents will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$777Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:17 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from European and global models places Amsterdam’s June 13 maximum near 18 °C, supporting the market’s near-even split between 17 °C and 18 °C outcomes. Subtle differences in low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of a weak Atlantic front create the narrow spread separating these bins; stronger insolation or delayed cooling could push readings to 19 °C, while increased marine influence or earlier showers favor 17 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, yet small shifts in 500 hPa heights or 10 m wind forecasts can still alter peak values by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service equivalents will be the key near-term catalysts for any re-pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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