Traders see the highest implied probability on a Shanghai low of 25°C or above for June 13 because recent model guidance points to partly cloudy skies and moderating humidity that could limit overnight cooling. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project nighttime lows near 21–22°C amid typical early-summer conditions, yet the spread across 22–24°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind patterns, and any late-arriving showers during the plum-rain transition period. Historical mid-June averages hover around 20–22°C, so deviations depend on short-term atmospheric shifts that updated runs will clarify before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 13. Juni?
25°C oder höher 34%
22°C 21%
23°C 21%
24°C 19%
15°C oder darunter
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
12%
19°C
14%
20°C
15%
21°C
17%
22°C
21%
23°C
21%
24°C
19%
25°C oder höher
34%
25°C oder höher 34%
22°C 21%
23°C 21%
24°C 19%
15°C oder darunter
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
12%
19°C
14%
20°C
15%
21°C
17%
22°C
21%
23°C
21%
24°C
19%
25°C oder höher
34%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest implied probability on a Shanghai low of 25°C or above for June 13 because recent model guidance points to partly cloudy skies and moderating humidity that could limit overnight cooling. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project nighttime lows near 21–22°C amid typical early-summer conditions, yet the spread across 22–24°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind patterns, and any late-arriving showers during the plum-rain transition period. Historical mid-June averages hover around 20–22°C, so deviations depend on short-term atmospheric shifts that updated runs will clarify before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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