Recent short-term meteorological models indicate a cooler-than-average day for Ankara on June 13, with maximum temperatures likely limited by increased cloud cover, possible light precipitation, and northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. This positions 21–22°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, well below the seasonal mid-June average high near 28°C from long-term climatology. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ensemble forecasts show consistency in this range amid variable spring-to-summer transition patterns, where model consensus favors modest warming at best rather than the 25°C+ peaks seen earlier in the month. Traders' real-capital positioning reflects this data-driven uncertainty, with higher thresholds carrying minimal implied probability absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or clearer skies before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Ankara on June 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 13?
21°C or below 40%
22°C 31%
23°C 15.6%
24°C 14.3%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
21°C or below
40%
22°C
31%
23°C
16%
24°C
14%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 40%
22°C 31%
23°C 15.6%
24°C 14.3%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
21°C or below
$137 Vol.
40%
22°C
$7 Vol.
31%
23°C
$57 Vol.
16%
24°C
$83 Vol.
14%
25°C
$50 Vol.
3%
26°C
$60 Vol.
1%
27°C
$60 Vol.
1%
28°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term meteorological models indicate a cooler-than-average day for Ankara on June 13, with maximum temperatures likely limited by increased cloud cover, possible light precipitation, and northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. This positions 21–22°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, well below the seasonal mid-June average high near 28°C from long-term climatology. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ensemble forecasts show consistency in this range amid variable spring-to-summer transition patterns, where model consensus favors modest warming at best rather than the 25°C+ peaks seen earlier in the month. Traders' real-capital positioning reflects this data-driven uncertainty, with higher thresholds carrying minimal implied probability absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or clearer skies before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,064Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term meteorological models indicate a cooler-than-average day for Ankara on June 13, with maximum temperatures likely limited by increased cloud cover, possible light precipitation, and northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. This positions 21–22°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, well below the seasonal mid-June average high near 28°C from long-term climatology. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ensemble forecasts show consistency in this range amid variable spring-to-summer transition patterns, where model consensus favors modest warming at best rather than the 25°C+ peaks seen earlier in the month. Traders' real-capital positioning reflects this data-driven uncertainty, with higher thresholds carrying minimal implied probability absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or clearer skies before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,064Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term meteorological models indicate a cooler-than-average day for Ankara on June 13, with maximum temperatures likely limited by increased cloud cover, possible light precipitation, and northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. This positions 21–22°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes, well below the seasonal mid-June average high near 28°C from long-term climatology. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ensemble forecasts show consistency in this range amid variable spring-to-summer transition patterns, where model consensus favors modest warming at best rather than the 25°C+ peaks seen earlier in the month. Traders' real-capital positioning reflects this data-driven uncertainty, with higher thresholds carrying minimal implied probability absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or clearer skies before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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