Recent IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts point to increased cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Lucknow on June 13, driven by strengthening monsoon moisture and possible western disturbance influence, which caps daytime heating and favors maximum temperatures near 35–36 °C. These conditions contrast with the hot, clear regime that produced 41–46 °C readings earlier in the month. Model consensus shows modest precipitation chances and higher humidity reducing insolation, while climatological norms for mid-June already trend slightly cooler than peak pre-monsoon heat. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 35 °C and 36 °C brackets, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Updated short-range model runs and IMD nowcasts through June 12 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 13?
36°C 33%
35°C 32%
34°C or below 20%
37°C 14%
34°C or below
20%
35°C
32%
36°C
33%
37°C
14%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 33%
35°C 32%
34°C or below 20%
37°C 14%
34°C or below
20%
35°C
32%
36°C
33%
37°C
14%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts point to increased cloud cover and scattered thundershowers over Lucknow on June 13, driven by strengthening monsoon moisture and possible western disturbance influence, which caps daytime heating and favors maximum temperatures near 35–36 °C. These conditions contrast with the hot, clear regime that produced 41–46 °C readings earlier in the month. Model consensus shows modest precipitation chances and higher humidity reducing insolation, while climatological norms for mid-June already trend slightly cooler than peak pre-monsoon heat. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 35 °C and 36 °C brackets, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2 °C. Updated short-range model runs and IMD nowcasts through June 12 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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