Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a mostly cloudy June 13 with a minimum temperature near 18°C, consistent with early tsuyu-season conditions where daytime highs reach 25–26°C. Trader consensus clusters on 18–20°C outcomes because nocturnal radiative cooling will be moderated by persistent humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that traps heat while limiting clear-sky temperature drops. Seasonal outlooks from JMA note above-normal warmth overall, yet short-term model runs show sensitivity to exact rainfall timing and frontal positioning, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. This genuine forecast uncertainty—typical for transitional early-summer patterns—explains the closely matched probabilities across the 18–20°C range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 13. Juni?
19°C 36%
18°C 26%
20°C 24%
21°C oder höher 16%
11°C oder darunter
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
10%
18°C
26%
19°C
36%
20°C
24%
21°C oder höher
16%
19°C 36%
18°C 26%
20°C 24%
21°C oder höher 16%
11°C oder darunter
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
10%
18°C
26%
19°C
36%
20°C
24%
21°C oder höher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a mostly cloudy June 13 with a minimum temperature near 18°C, consistent with early tsuyu-season conditions where daytime highs reach 25–26°C. Trader consensus clusters on 18–20°C outcomes because nocturnal radiative cooling will be moderated by persistent humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that traps heat while limiting clear-sky temperature drops. Seasonal outlooks from JMA note above-normal warmth overall, yet short-term model runs show sensitivity to exact rainfall timing and frontal positioning, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. This genuine forecast uncertainty—typical for transitional early-summer patterns—explains the closely matched probabilities across the 18–20°C range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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