Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 11 project a daily minimum near 18°C under mostly cloudy skies and stable early-summer conditions, aligning closely with the long-term climatological normal of 18.3°C. This consensus from official model runs and ensemble guidance underpins the market-implied odds heavily favoring an 18°C low, as traders weigh verified station observations against typical June variability. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban heat effects or final reporting adjustments, though current atmospheric patterns show no strong signals for significant cold-air advection or rapid shifts that would push the recorded minimum outside the narrow 17–19°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 11. Juni?
18°C 99.3%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,056 Vol.
$19,056 Vol.
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 99.3%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,056 Vol.
$19,056 Vol.
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 11 project a daily minimum near 18°C under mostly cloudy skies and stable early-summer conditions, aligning closely with the long-term climatological normal of 18.3°C. This consensus from official model runs and ensemble guidance underpins the market-implied odds heavily favoring an 18°C low, as traders weigh verified station observations against typical June variability. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban heat effects or final reporting adjustments, though current atmospheric patterns show no strong signals for significant cold-air advection or rapid shifts that would push the recorded minimum outside the narrow 17–19°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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