Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from European and global models indicate a likely peak of 30–32°C in Milan on June 13 under subtropical ridge influence and light southerly flow. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any residual cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention explain the tight clustering around 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29°C or 33°C+ reflect ensemble spread and typical model bias in Po Valley summer maxima. An emerging El Niño pattern may contribute modestly to above-average warmth but introduces little near-term uncertainty at this short forecast horizon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on June 13?
31°C 36%
32°C 20%
30°C 18%
33°C 16%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
36%
32°C
26%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 20%
30°C 18%
33°C 16%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
36%
32°C
26%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from European and global models indicate a likely peak of 30–32°C in Milan on June 13 under subtropical ridge influence and light southerly flow. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any residual cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention explain the tight clustering around 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29°C or 33°C+ reflect ensemble spread and typical model bias in Po Valley summer maxima. An emerging El Niño pattern may contribute modestly to above-average warmth but introduces little near-term uncertainty at this short forecast horizon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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