Beijing's early June climatology, with typical daily highs of 30–32°C driven by increasing solar insolation and southerly monsoon flows, underpins the strong market preference for 31°C. Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converge on a peak near 31°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds, though model spreads of 1–2°C introduce modest uncertainty around intensification from urban heat-island effects or brief showers. Historical data show June maxima averaging near 30°C with low frequency of 33°C+ extremes this early in the season, supporting trader consensus on the narrow 31–32°C range as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
32°C 16%
33°C 1.6%
31°C 1.0%
34°C <1%
$67,442 Vol.
$67,442 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
16%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 16%
33°C 1.6%
31°C 1.0%
34°C <1%
$67,442 Vol.
$67,442 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
16%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Beijing's early June climatology, with typical daily highs of 30–32°C driven by increasing solar insolation and southerly monsoon flows, underpins the strong market preference for 31°C. Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converge on a peak near 31°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds, though model spreads of 1–2°C introduce modest uncertainty around intensification from urban heat-island effects or brief showers. Historical data show June maxima averaging near 30°C with low frequency of 33°C+ extremes this early in the season, supporting trader consensus on the narrow 31–32°C range as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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