Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a daytime high near 31°C on June 11, consistent with early-summer patterns of moderate southerly flow, increasing humidity, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme peaks. Official model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration align with historical June averages of 28–30°C highs, while recent days have seen readings in the low 30s without sustained heatwave conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57% implied probability for 31°C, accounts for typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C and the absence of strong warming signals from regional pressure systems. Data releases from surface observations throughout the day will refine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 11?
31°C 60%
32°C 24%
30°C 18%
33°C 2.3%
$58,697 Vol.
$58,697 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
18%
31°C
60%
32°C
24%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 60%
32°C 24%
30°C 18%
33°C 2.3%
$58,697 Vol.
$58,697 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
18%
31°C
60%
32°C
24%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a daytime high near 31°C on June 11, consistent with early-summer patterns of moderate southerly flow, increasing humidity, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme peaks. Official model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration align with historical June averages of 28–30°C highs, while recent days have seen readings in the low 30s without sustained heatwave conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57% implied probability for 31°C, accounts for typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C and the absence of strong warming signals from regional pressure systems. Data releases from surface observations throughout the day will refine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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