Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 12 centered in the mid-70s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–77°F. This positioning reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions with limited radiative cooling under humid air masses and light winds, alongside minor model spread in the exact timing of any weak frontal influence or cloud cover. Historical June minimums average near 65°F, but current guidance shows warmer anomalies that keep sub-70°F outcomes at very low implied probabilities. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market once the overnight period concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 12. Juni?
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 20%
80°F oder höher 18%
61°F oder darunter
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
20%
80°F oder höher
18%
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 20%
80°F oder höher 18%
61°F oder darunter
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
20%
80°F oder höher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and global models indicate overnight lows in New York City on June 12 centered in the mid-70s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–77°F. This positioning reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions with limited radiative cooling under humid air masses and light winds, alongside minor model spread in the exact timing of any weak frontal influence or cloud cover. Historical June minimums average near 65°F, but current guidance shows warmer anomalies that keep sub-70°F outcomes at very low implied probabilities. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market once the overnight period concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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