Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for central Texas points to a mostly sunny pattern on June 12 under weak high pressure, supporting maximum temperatures near the seasonal normal of 93 °F. Ensemble forecasts cluster the daily high in the low-to-mid 90s, with limited spread arising from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing. Recent rainfall has increased soil moisture and evaporative cooling, tempering any potential for stronger warming, while the absence of a persistent heat dome or strong downslope flow keeps extreme values (96 °F+) at low implied probability. Updated model runs and the next National Weather Service afternoon forecast discussion are the key near-term data points that could shift the distribution within the 90–95 °F range favored by current trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 12. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 12. Juni?
92-93°F 39%
90-91°F 25%
94-95°F 19%
96-97°F 5%
NEU
NEU
12. Juni 2026
81°F oder darunter
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
39%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
2%
100°F oder höher
1%
92-93°F 39%
90-91°F 25%
94-95°F 19%
96-97°F 5%
NEU
NEU
12. Juni 2026
81°F oder darunter
$124 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$113 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$187 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$141 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$32 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$107 Vol.
25%
92-93°F
$139 Vol.
39%
94-95°F
$136 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$180 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$125 Vol.
2%
100°F oder höher
$70 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for central Texas points to a mostly sunny pattern on June 12 under weak high pressure, supporting maximum temperatures near the seasonal normal of 93 °F. Ensemble forecasts cluster the daily high in the low-to-mid 90s, with limited spread arising from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing. Recent rainfall has increased soil moisture and evaporative cooling, tempering any potential for stronger warming, while the absence of a persistent heat dome or strong downslope flow keeps extreme values (96 °F+) at low implied probability. Updated model runs and the next National Weather Service afternoon forecast discussion are the key near-term data points that could shift the distribution within the 90–95 °F range favored by current trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$1,237Enddatum
12. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for central Texas points to a mostly sunny pattern on June 12 under weak high pressure, supporting maximum temperatures near the seasonal normal of 93 °F. Ensemble forecasts cluster the daily high in the low-to-mid 90s, with limited spread arising from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing. Recent rainfall has increased soil moisture and evaporative cooling, tempering any potential for stronger warming, while the absence of a persistent heat dome or strong downslope flow keeps extreme values (96 °F+) at low implied probability. Updated model runs and the next National Weather Service afternoon forecast discussion are the key near-term data points that could shift the distribution within the 90–95 °F range favored by current trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,237Enddatum
12. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for central Texas points to a mostly sunny pattern on June 12 under weak high pressure, supporting maximum temperatures near the seasonal normal of 93 °F. Ensemble forecasts cluster the daily high in the low-to-mid 90s, with limited spread arising from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing. Recent rainfall has increased soil moisture and evaporative cooling, tempering any potential for stronger warming, while the absence of a persistent heat dome or strong downslope flow keeps extreme values (96 °F+) at low implied probability. Updated model runs and the next National Weather Service afternoon forecast discussion are the key near-term data points that could shift the distribution within the 90–95 °F range favored by current trader positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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