Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and AccuWeather places Houston’s June 12 maximum near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s concentration on the 90–93°F bins. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with normal highs of 91–92°F amid strengthening subtropical ridging and persistent southeasterly flow that limits mixing while maintaining dew points in the mid-70s. Minor day-to-day variability stems from subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of peak insolation, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model details against historical June extremes rarely exceeding 95°F this early in the month, producing the observed tight distribution around the most probable outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 12. Juni?
90-91°F 41%
92-93°F 32%
88-89°F 15%
94-95°F 14%
85°F oder darunter
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
32%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F oder höher
<1%
90-91°F 41%
92-93°F 32%
88-89°F 15%
94-95°F 14%
85°F oder darunter
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
32%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and AccuWeather places Houston’s June 12 maximum near 90–92°F, aligning with the market’s concentration on the 90–93°F bins. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with normal highs of 91–92°F amid strengthening subtropical ridging and persistent southeasterly flow that limits mixing while maintaining dew points in the mid-70s. Minor day-to-day variability stems from subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of peak insolation, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model details against historical June extremes rarely exceeding 95°F this early in the month, producing the observed tight distribution around the most probable outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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