A cold front advancing through southeastern Brazil is the main driver behind the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 20–21°C for São Paulo’s June 12 maximum, with INMET guidance highlighting cooling and rain expected through June 13. Typical June climatology features daytime highs near 22°C, but the frontal passage introduces downward pressure via increased cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and potential showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in peak values depending on exact frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the observed market distribution where 20°C and 21°C together exceed 65% implied probability while warmer or cooler outliers remain under 10%. Updated model runs and INMET briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 12. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 12. Juni?
21°C 36%
20°C 32%
22°C 17%
19°C 11%
NEU
NEU
12. Juni 2026
16°C oder niedriger
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
11%
20°C
32%
21°C
36%
22°C
17%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
21°C 36%
20°C 32%
22°C 17%
19°C 11%
NEU
NEU
12. Juni 2026
16°C oder niedriger
$65 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$272 Vol.
1%
18°C
$91 Vol.
2%
19°C
$54 Vol.
11%
20°C
$165 Vol.
32%
21°C
$190 Vol.
36%
22°C
$130 Vol.
17%
23°C
$166 Vol.
6%
24°C
$373 Vol.
1%
25°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
26°C oder höher
$59 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing through southeastern Brazil is the main driver behind the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 20–21°C for São Paulo’s June 12 maximum, with INMET guidance highlighting cooling and rain expected through June 13. Typical June climatology features daytime highs near 22°C, but the frontal passage introduces downward pressure via increased cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and potential showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in peak values depending on exact frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the observed market distribution where 20°C and 21°C together exceed 65% implied probability while warmer or cooler outliers remain under 10%. Updated model runs and INMET briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$1,693Enddatum
12. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing through southeastern Brazil is the main driver behind the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 20–21°C for São Paulo’s June 12 maximum, with INMET guidance highlighting cooling and rain expected through June 13. Typical June climatology features daytime highs near 22°C, but the frontal passage introduces downward pressure via increased cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and potential showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in peak values depending on exact frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the observed market distribution where 20°C and 21°C together exceed 65% implied probability while warmer or cooler outliers remain under 10%. Updated model runs and INMET briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,693Enddatum
12. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing through southeastern Brazil is the main driver behind the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 20–21°C for São Paulo’s June 12 maximum, with INMET guidance highlighting cooling and rain expected through June 13. Typical June climatology features daytime highs near 22°C, but the frontal passage introduces downward pressure via increased cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and potential showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in peak values depending on exact frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the observed market distribution where 20°C and 21°C together exceed 65% implied probability while warmer or cooler outliers remain under 10%. Updated model runs and INMET briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen