**Trader sentiment for NYC's June 12 high centers on a building heat wave pattern, with National Weather Service and private model guidance showing Central Park highs near 90–93°F amid a heat advisory through Friday evening.** Warm advection from the southwest, elevated dew points supporting 90s heat indices, and limited cloud cover early in the day favor peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Differentiation among the tightly bunched 92–97°F bins hinges on the exact timing and coverage of afternoon convection: earlier or more widespread thunderstorms could cap readings near 92–93°F by reducing insolation, while delayed or spotty storms would allow greater boundary-layer warming toward 94–96°F. Historical June analogs and ensemble spread in guidance introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the market-implied odds distributed across these nearby ranges rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 12. Juni?
94-95°F 35%
92-93°F 27%
96-97°F 22%
90-91°F 10%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
27%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
6%
100°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 35%
92-93°F 27%
96-97°F 22%
90-91°F 10%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
27%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
6%
100°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for NYC's June 12 high centers on a building heat wave pattern, with National Weather Service and private model guidance showing Central Park highs near 90–93°F amid a heat advisory through Friday evening.** Warm advection from the southwest, elevated dew points supporting 90s heat indices, and limited cloud cover early in the day favor peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Differentiation among the tightly bunched 92–97°F bins hinges on the exact timing and coverage of afternoon convection: earlier or more widespread thunderstorms could cap readings near 92–93°F by reducing insolation, while delayed or spotty storms would allow greater boundary-layer warming toward 94–96°F. Historical June analogs and ensemble spread in guidance introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the market-implied odds distributed across these nearby ranges rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen