Recent forecasts from major models and agencies, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, indicate Madrid will likely reach a daily maximum near 34°C on June 13 under sunny skies and light winds that favor daytime heating. These conditions align with above-average June temperatures for the region, where climatological highs typically range 28–32°C, and explain the tight market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, or the precise timing of peak heating across ensemble runs account for the close probabilities and smaller shares for 33°C or 36°C. Traders will watch updated AEMET and European model guidance in the next 48 hours for any shifts that could alter the implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
34°C 41%
35°C 37%
36°C 15%
33°C 10%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
10%
34°C
41%
35°C
37%
36°C
15%
37°C or higher
3%
34°C 41%
35°C 37%
36°C 15%
33°C 10%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
27°C oder darunter
$200 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$20 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
10%
34°C
$72 Vol.
41%
35°C
$135 Vol.
37%
36°C
$0 Vol.
15%
37°C or higher
$20 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models and agencies, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, indicate Madrid will likely reach a daily maximum near 34°C on June 13 under sunny skies and light winds that favor daytime heating. These conditions align with above-average June temperatures for the region, where climatological highs typically range 28–32°C, and explain the tight market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, or the precise timing of peak heating across ensemble runs account for the close probabilities and smaller shares for 33°C or 36°C. Traders will watch updated AEMET and European model guidance in the next 48 hours for any shifts that could alter the implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$447Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models and agencies, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, indicate Madrid will likely reach a daily maximum near 34°C on June 13 under sunny skies and light winds that favor daytime heating. These conditions align with above-average June temperatures for the region, where climatological highs typically range 28–32°C, and explain the tight market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, or the precise timing of peak heating across ensemble runs account for the close probabilities and smaller shares for 33°C or 36°C. Traders will watch updated AEMET and European model guidance in the next 48 hours for any shifts that could alter the implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$447Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models and agencies, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, indicate Madrid will likely reach a daily maximum near 34°C on June 13 under sunny skies and light winds that favor daytime heating. These conditions align with above-average June temperatures for the region, where climatological highs typically range 28–32°C, and explain the tight market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, or the precise timing of peak heating across ensemble runs account for the close probabilities and smaller shares for 33°C or 36°C. Traders will watch updated AEMET and European model guidance in the next 48 hours for any shifts that could alter the implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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