The close clustering of market-implied odds around 35–37 °C for Karachi’s June 13 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty in sea-breeze strength and low-level moisture advection from the Arabian Sea. Coastal moderation typically caps daytime peaks near the seasonal June average of 34–36 °C, yet shifts in wind direction, boundary-layer mixing, or thin cloud cover can add or subtract 1–2 °C. Current model consensus shows modest agreement on weak onshore flow and dew-point values in the mid-20s °C, producing only marginal differences in predicted surface heating; any late adjustment in these variables by the next model cycle could readily favor either 35 °C or 36 °C as the most probable outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Karachi on June 13?
Highest temperature in Karachi on June 13?
36°C 37%
35°C 29%
34°C 20%
37°C 9%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
20%
35°C
29%
36°C
37%
37°C
9%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 29%
34°C 20%
37°C 9%
NEU
NEU
13. Juni 2026
31°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
1%
33°C
$172 Vol.
2%
34°C
$41 Vol.
20%
35°C
$18 Vol.
29%
36°C
$43 Vol.
37%
37°C
$29 Vol.
9%
38°C
$0 Vol.
3%
39°C
$24 Vol.
1%
40°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The close clustering of market-implied odds around 35–37 °C for Karachi’s June 13 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty in sea-breeze strength and low-level moisture advection from the Arabian Sea. Coastal moderation typically caps daytime peaks near the seasonal June average of 34–36 °C, yet shifts in wind direction, boundary-layer mixing, or thin cloud cover can add or subtract 1–2 °C. Current model consensus shows modest agreement on weak onshore flow and dew-point values in the mid-20s °C, producing only marginal differences in predicted surface heating; any late adjustment in these variables by the next model cycle could readily favor either 35 °C or 36 °C as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$354Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The close clustering of market-implied odds around 35–37 °C for Karachi’s June 13 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty in sea-breeze strength and low-level moisture advection from the Arabian Sea. Coastal moderation typically caps daytime peaks near the seasonal June average of 34–36 °C, yet shifts in wind direction, boundary-layer mixing, or thin cloud cover can add or subtract 1–2 °C. Current model consensus shows modest agreement on weak onshore flow and dew-point values in the mid-20s °C, producing only marginal differences in predicted surface heating; any late adjustment in these variables by the next model cycle could readily favor either 35 °C or 36 °C as the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$354Enddatum
13. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The close clustering of market-implied odds around 35–37 °C for Karachi’s June 13 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty in sea-breeze strength and low-level moisture advection from the Arabian Sea. Coastal moderation typically caps daytime peaks near the seasonal June average of 34–36 °C, yet shifts in wind direction, boundary-layer mixing, or thin cloud cover can add or subtract 1–2 °C. Current model consensus shows modest agreement on weak onshore flow and dew-point values in the mid-20s °C, producing only marginal differences in predicted surface heating; any late adjustment in these variables by the next model cycle could readily favor either 35 °C or 36 °C as the most probable outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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