Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 12. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 12. Juni?
21°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
16°C oder darunter <1%
17°C <1%
$19,518 Vol.
$19,518 Vol.
12. Juni 2026
16°C oder darunter
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Ja
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C oder höher
Nein
21°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
16°C oder darunter <1%
17°C <1%
$19,518 Vol.
$19,518 Vol.
12. Juni 2026
16°C oder darunter
$749 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$677 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$1,047 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$1,200 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$1,897 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$8,873 Vol.
Ja
22°C
$1,022 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$2,138 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$707 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$501 Vol.
Nein
26°C oder höher
$708 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$19,518Enddatum
12. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,518Enddatum
12. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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