Recent model runs from major European forecasting centers indicate a highest temperature of 21–22°C in Munich on June 14, aligning with the market’s tight 49.5% and 37.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Mid-June climatology shows average daily highs near 22°C, and current surface pressure patterns plus modest northerly flow are limiting daytime warming while keeping skies mostly clear to partly cloudy. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with only small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover likely to determine whether the peak reaches 22°C or stays at 21°C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the 24-hour verification window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 14. Juni?
22°C 50%
21°C 38%
23°C 6%
20°C 5%
$27,015 Vol.
$27,015 Vol.
16°C oder darunter
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
38%
22°C
50%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 50%
21°C 38%
23°C 6%
20°C 5%
$27,015 Vol.
$27,015 Vol.
16°C oder darunter
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
38%
22°C
50%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from major European forecasting centers indicate a highest temperature of 21–22°C in Munich on June 14, aligning with the market’s tight 49.5% and 37.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Mid-June climatology shows average daily highs near 22°C, and current surface pressure patterns plus modest northerly flow are limiting daytime warming while keeping skies mostly clear to partly cloudy. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, with only small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover likely to determine whether the peak reaches 22°C or stays at 21°C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the 24-hour verification window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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