Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically produces daily highs near 17°C in mid-June, driven by the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent passage of mid-latitude systems. Recent model guidance and observations point to a coastal low and associated showers lingering into June 14, followed by clearing and light easterly flow on the 15th that favors a maximum of 15–17°C rather than extremes. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering around 16°C under partly cloudy skies and minimal synoptic forcing for anomalous warming or cooling. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 16°C (46.5 %), 17°C (28 %), and 15°C (23.5 %), reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes given current conditions and the short lead time to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 15. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 15. Juni?
16°C 45%
17°C 29%
15°C 25%
18°C 2.3%
NEU
NEU
15. Juni 2026
11°C oder weniger
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
25%
16°C
45%
17°C
29%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 45%
17°C 29%
15°C 25%
18°C 2.3%
NEU
NEU
15. Juni 2026
11°C oder weniger
$98 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$474 Vol.
2%
15°C
$419 Vol.
25%
16°C
$351 Vol.
45%
17°C
$219 Vol.
29%
18°C
$467 Vol.
2%
19°C
$140 Vol.
1%
20°C
$444 Vol.
<1%
21°C oder höher
$723 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically produces daily highs near 17°C in mid-June, driven by the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent passage of mid-latitude systems. Recent model guidance and observations point to a coastal low and associated showers lingering into June 14, followed by clearing and light easterly flow on the 15th that favors a maximum of 15–17°C rather than extremes. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering around 16°C under partly cloudy skies and minimal synoptic forcing for anomalous warming or cooling. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 16°C (46.5 %), 17°C (28 %), and 15°C (23.5 %), reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes given current conditions and the short lead time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$3,355Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically produces daily highs near 17°C in mid-June, driven by the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent passage of mid-latitude systems. Recent model guidance and observations point to a coastal low and associated showers lingering into June 14, followed by clearing and light easterly flow on the 15th that favors a maximum of 15–17°C rather than extremes. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering around 16°C under partly cloudy skies and minimal synoptic forcing for anomalous warming or cooling. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 16°C (46.5 %), 17°C (28 %), and 15°C (23.5 %), reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes given current conditions and the short lead time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,355Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically produces daily highs near 17°C in mid-June, driven by the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent passage of mid-latitude systems. Recent model guidance and observations point to a coastal low and associated showers lingering into June 14, followed by clearing and light easterly flow on the 15th that favors a maximum of 15–17°C rather than extremes. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering around 16°C under partly cloudy skies and minimal synoptic forcing for anomalous warming or cooling. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 16°C (46.5 %), 17°C (28 %), and 15°C (23.5 %), reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes given current conditions and the short lead time to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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