Current forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on June 16, 2026, driven by typical early-summer monsoon conditions, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Seasonal outlooks already indicate above-normal temperatures for June–August, with average lows historically around 26–27°C; short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies or atypical steering patterns that would allow greater nocturnal cooling before the next model updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 16. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 16. Juni?
26°C 38%
27°C 21%
28°C 15%
25°C 14%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
14%
26°C
38%
27°C
21%
28°C
15%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 38%
27°C 21%
28°C 15%
25°C 14%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
21°C oder darunter
$325 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$15 Vol.
1%
23°C
$22 Vol.
1%
24°C
$16 Vol.
4%
25°C
$16 Vol.
14%
26°C
$21 Vol.
38%
27°C
$7 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$22 Vol.
1%
30°C
$22 Vol.
1%
31°C oder höher
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on June 16, 2026, driven by typical early-summer monsoon conditions, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Seasonal outlooks already indicate above-normal temperatures for June–August, with average lows historically around 26–27°C; short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies or atypical steering patterns that would allow greater nocturnal cooling before the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$486Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on June 16, 2026, driven by typical early-summer monsoon conditions, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Seasonal outlooks already indicate above-normal temperatures for June–August, with average lows historically around 26–27°C; short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies or atypical steering patterns that would allow greater nocturnal cooling before the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$486Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on June 16, 2026, driven by typical early-summer monsoon conditions, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Seasonal outlooks already indicate above-normal temperatures for June–August, with average lows historically around 26–27°C; short-range guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies or atypical steering patterns that would allow greater nocturnal cooling before the next model updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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